King Rat (gkr) wrote,
King Rat
gkr

Probability of evolution

John Allen Paulos writes a very good explanation about how the creationist probability argument doesn't work. That argument is that the probability of all the things happening to make a human eye (or other complex thing) evolve is so low that it just couldn't have happened that way. It's bunk. As Paulos writes, think of a dealing out a deck of 52 cards in a row. The probability that you got that particular ordering is miniscule. Extremely miniscule. So miniscule that there is no way it could have happened by dealing a deck of cards out. At least that's the creationist argument applied to a deck of cards. And yet, that's exactly what you got and how you got it.

Subscribe

  • Last post

    I don't plan to delete my LJ (I paid for permanent status, dammit), but this will be the last post. I don't plan to read it anymore, either…

  • Unemployed

    Turns out my insurance is cut off at midnight tonight, not the end of the month. In a way, that's a good thing. Now I'll move my appointment…

  • Home from the cruise, off to Sunnyvale

    A week off, but tomorrow I head to the home office for a week there.

  • Post a new comment

    Error

    Anonymous comments are disabled in this journal

    default userpic

    Your reply will be screened

  • 5 comments